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"Jim Stack of InvesTech Research was the only panelist
to correctly predict both a recession and bear market in 2001."
FOR OVER 30 YEARS, InvesTech Research has produced some of the most unique analysis and valuable insights found anywhere on or off Wall Street. Based in scenic Whitefish, Montana, Editor James Stack provides an effective strategy for balancing potential reward with risk through his top-rated InvesTech Market Analyst and Portfolio Strategy newsletters.
Instead of a "me-too" consensus with the Wall Street establishment, InvesTech offers solid historical research on why bull markets and bear markets behave the way they do.
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Chart of the Week September 1, 2010
According to the latest release from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the manufacturing sector continued to expand in August. While expectations were for a slowdown, the upward move up in the Purchasing Managers Index to +56.3 had its roots in capital expenditure growth and expanding international demand for U.S. manufactured products. The employment outlook was also strong, with 10 out of 18 industries reporting increased employment opportunities during August. Going forward, we will be monitoring this important indicator closely for signs of continued economic growth.
Consumer Confidence moved up modestly during August, with all of the gains coming from the future expectations component. Since the market was actually geared for a decline in confidence, this development was welcome news. Confidence is still well above the recession low of 2009 (top graph) and our differential gauge of “Future Expectations minus Present Situation” (bottom graph) continues to hold up even though consumers remain nervous about business conditions. Continued improvement in confidence going forward is an important wildcard that could energize equity markets as the holiday season approaches. Stay tuned for updates.
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Stack Financial Management
Stack Financial Management was incorporated in 1994 in response to demand from InvesTech subscribers for personal portfolio management. SFM is separate and independent of InvesTech Research, yet employs the same safety-first philosophy and technical approach first used by InvesTech Research almost three decades ago.
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